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217
Askeri Saldırılar
15
Oil
0
Iran Regime
0
Ceasefire
0
Hormuz Strait
34
Regional Spillover
3
ABD - İran
13
Iran Strikes Israel
0
Rıza Pehlevi
7
Lübnan
10
Nuclear
0
Israel x Iran
0
Kurds
1
İran
İran
All
Askeri Saldırılar
Oil
Iran Regime
Ceasefire
Hormuz Strait
Regional Spillover
ABD - İran
Iran Strikes Israel
Rıza Pehlevi
Lübnan
Nuclear
Israel x Iran
Kurds
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
October 31
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
August 31
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
July 31
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
June 30
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
June 15
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$277.7M Vol.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
September 30
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
August 31
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$71.3M Vol.
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 8
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
June 30
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
June 15
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$67.9M Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$62.7M Vol.
ABD, 2027'den önce İran'ı işgal edecek mi?
17%
Hayır
Evet
Hayır
$59.2M Vol.
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 31
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
June 30
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
June 21
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
$57.9M Vol.
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
No Head of State
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Reza Pahlavi
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Alireza Arafi
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Hassan Rouhani
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$38.7M Vol.
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
July 31
64%
Yes
64%
No
36%
June 30
42%
Yes
42%
No
58%
June 15
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
June 12
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
June 9
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$34.9M Vol.
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 31
57%
Yes
57%
No
43%
June 30
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
June 15
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$30.4M Vol.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
September 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
August 31
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$29.1M Vol.
Israel closes its airspace by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$27.3M Vol.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 31
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
September 30
82%
Yes
82%
No
18%
October 31
74%
Yes
74%
No
26%
December 31
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
$26.1M Vol.
İran rejimi 2027'den önce düşecek mi?
7%
Hayır
Evet
Hayır
$24.8M Vol.
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
December 31
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
November 30
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
October 31
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
September 30
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
August 31
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$23.7M Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$22.7M Vol.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$21.8M Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$18.2M Vol.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 31
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
October 31
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
September 30
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
September 21
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
September 14
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
September 7
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$17.9M Vol.
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
October 31
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
August 31
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$17.8M Vol.
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August 14
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
July 31
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
August 31
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$17.2M Vol.
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Switzerland
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
No Meeting by June 30
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Qatar
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Pakistan
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Other - Europe
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Austria
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$16.1M Vol.
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
November 30
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
October 31
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
September 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
August 31
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$16.0M Vol.
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$13.7M Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$13.0M Vol.
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$12.2M Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$12.1M Vol.
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$11.7M Vol.
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$11.1M Vol.
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 2027
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
December 31, 2026
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
September 30, 2026
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
August 31, 2026
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$9.7M Vol.
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$9.6M Vol.
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
September 30
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
August 31
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$8.5M Vol.
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 30
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
December 31
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
July 31
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$8.0M Vol.
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